The Leaves Say You Will Go Free

The insider trading case against Raj Rajaratnam seemed very tight. The prosecutors had him on tape discussing the inside information from wiretaps.
So why did he fight his insider trading charges and get a lesser sentence than the 11 years that was handed down last week?

Ola Leaves.

Suketu Mehta in the Daily Beast discussed the rational and irrational explanations.

A Sri Lankan diplomat close to Rajaratnam told me that she’d met him shortly before he was convicted. “He’d gone to the ola-leaf readers. They told him he’d be acquitted.”

Not tea leaves. Ola leaves.

Three thousand years ago, seven rishis (sages) in India set themselves a mission. They would write down the fate of as many people in the world as they could.

These forecasts are said to have been originally written on goatskins, later transcribed onto copper plaques and then onto ola leaves.

Maybe Rajaratnam’s inevitable appeal will mean the ola leaves were right.

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Insider Trading: A Dirty Business

One of the major tactics of hedge funds is to “arbitrage reality”, operating with a better understanding of a company and its stock price than other participants in the market. In a legitimate operation, that means lots of research. On the wrong side it means getting inside information about a company’s earnings, upcoming deals, and other inside information.

The hedge fund most notably found to be operating on the wrong side was the Galleon Group run by Raj Rajaratnam. On May 11th he was found guilty on all fourteen counts of securities fraud and conspiracy to commit securities fraud. His sentencing is scheduled for July 29th. His appeals will go on for years.

George Packer puts together an insightful look at the Rajaratnam as a lens to explore the difficulties in getting a guilty verdict for insider trading and for prosecutions coming out of the financial crisis in a long article in The New Yorker: A Dirty Business.

I don’t think Rajaratnam’s guilty verdict was a surprise to anyone. Maybe it was a surprise to him and his lawyer. The feds had wiretaps and what appeared to me to be very solid evidence. One of the biggest difficulties is showing the flow of information to show that the trade happened based on material, non-public information. For a company insider or company adviser that is more straightforward than finding that information with a third-party trader. Without the flow of information you can’t show that the use of the information was in breach of a duty.

The death blow in the Rajaratnam trail was Rajat Gupta, a member of the Goldman Sachs’ board of directors. At a board meeting they discussed Warren Buffett’s proposed investment of five billion dollars in Goldman Sachs. The meeting ended at 3:54 P.M. Sixteen seconds later, Gupta called Rajaratnam’s office. At 3:58, just two minutes before the markets closed, Rajaratnam gave an order to buy three hundred and fifty thousand shares of Goldman stock. Fit him for a pinstripe jumpsuit.

Goldman Sachs chairman and chief executive, Lloyd Blankfein was in the witness stand at the Rajaratnam trial. But he was merely there to say that Rajat Gupta had violated the company’s confidentiality rules.

Did insider trading cause the 2008 financial crisis? Did it even play a role?

I’m in the camp with Charles Ferguson, the director of Inside Job, that the financial crisis was caused primarily by shoddy mortgages and trading of those bad loans. But unlike Ferguson, I think the ultimate crisis was caused by greed and stupidity.

The top executives of financial institutions were likely unaware or perhaps willfully ignorant of the low-level players who were originating the toxic mortgages and the packaging of the toxic mortgages into even more toxic mortgage-back securities. Delusion, stupidity and greed are not illegal.

Going back to insider trading, the push for information arbitrage is really a push to the edges of ethical and legal operation. Pushing back from the edge is a person’s morality, their sense of right and wrong. The hammer to that morality is potential prosecution for going past the edge. Packer refers to a 2007 of twenty-five hundred Wall Street professionals.

They were asked if they would use inside information to make ten million dollars if the chances of getting caught were fifty per cent. Seven per cent said yes. But, if there was zero chance of getting caught, fifty-eight per cent said that they would break the law.

That is the real problem with under-funding of the SEC. Without sufficient resources, their hammer of prosecution seems like a negligible risk. If traders see their peers trading on inside information and not getting caught, they are more likely to push past that legal edge. The  Rajaratnam is an important signal that you can get caught.

To be effective the SEC needs more cases, not just bigger cases.

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Raj is Guilty. Nobody Is Surprised.

If you read about the evidence, you can’t really be surprised that Raj Rajaratnam was found guilty of insider trading. That he was found guilty on all counts was mildly interesting, but not much.

We may get some interesting new legal developments in insider trading law from the appellate decisions. But probably not. The case seems solid. It does not pose the more interesting legal analysis seen in the charges brought in some of the expert network case.

The most interesting aspect of Raj’s case is the government’s use of wiretaps and surveillance. The typical insider trading case relies on some extremely timely trades and a clear opportunity to have acquired knowledge about a significant corporate action. With Raj, his own voice betrayed him. The government was willing to spend considerable considerable effort to gather evidence.

Was it a legal victory? How do you measure success from a legal perspective?:

“We started out with 37 stocks, we’re down to 14,” defense attorney John Dowd said today after his client was found guilty on 9 counts of insider trading and 5 counts of conspiracy. “The score is 23 to 14 for the defense. We’ll see you in the Second Circuit.”

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Insider Trading Debates

Raj Rajaratnam

Insider trading is back in the news. The SEC has shown heightened interest in prosecuting these cases, evidenced by the high-profile arrest of Galleon hedge fund manager, Raj Rajaratnam, on civil and criminal charges.

One thing to keep in mind is that insider trading is not defined in the federal securities laws. The SEC has developed insider trading through an interpretation of Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 that insider trading is a “deceptive device” under that section and and the anti-fraud provisions of Rule 10b-5.

Given that, there has always been some academic discussion about whether insider trading should be illegal. That discussion moved to the front burner after an opinion piece by Donald J. Boudreaux in the Wall Street Journal: Learning to Love Insider Trading. Donald J. Boudreaux is Professor of Economics at George Mason University and a Senior Fellow at the Mercatus Center.

Mr. Boudreaux latches on to the argument that insider trading allows better information into the markets, allowing for greater economic efficiency. “When insiders trade on their nonpublic, nonproprietary information, they cause asset prices to reflect that information sooner than otherwise and therefore prompt other market participants to make better decisions.” He thinks the capital markets will reward companies that self-impose restrictions on insider trading and punish those that don’t. So, market discipline is better than government regulation and prosecution.

I see some interesting things in this argument. Obviously, we would need prompt and transparent information on when insiders make trades. Delayed reporting undercuts this efficient market argument.

The bigger problem is the shifting of rewards to individuals. It seems inherently unfair that an insider could get a windfall profit from information that is not available to a wider audience. The insider is always going to have better information and should always be ahead of the market.

I could see the perverse effect of insiders purposefully delaying the public release of information to increase their own personal reward. Even worse, they could give false signals to the public in order to sell their shares at a higher level or buy at a cheaper price.

In the end you prosecute companies for poor disclosure, while individuals inside the company profit. You still end up with the government looking over the corporate shoulder at the information they disclose and who benefits from it. Then the government decided whether or not to prosecute.

Regardless, the arguments are purely academic. Insider trading is illegal and compliance officers need to be vigilant to make sure it does not occur. The downfall of Galleon and Raj Rajaratnam should be a stark examples. The indictment on insider trading charges sent them plummeting into the abyss. Galleon has gone from managing billions to possibly going out of business in the course of a week.

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Insider Trading Enforcement

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Either the Securities and Exchange Commission has stepped up its enforcement of insider trading or it’s doing a better job of publicizing its enforcement.

Earlier this week, the SEC announced its case against Raj Rajaratnam and his New York-based hedge fund advisory firm Galleon Management LP.

On September 23, they charged Reza Saleh with insider trading in connection with Dell’s tender offer for Perot Systems. These charges were filed just two days after the date of the merger.

Last month, the SEC brought charges against Melissa Mahler for insider trading activity that happened in 2004. Ms. Mahler made the stupid mistake of lying to the feds about whether she had purchased the shares. That turns the insider trading case from a civil case to a criminal case. It’s also easier to prove, since all the feds can pull up the brokerage statement showing that she had purchased the shares.

There is also the SEC’s insider trading case against Mark Cuban. Even though the initial charges were thrown out in district court, they are appealing that decision to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals.

According to reports there are 10 More Insider Trading Arrests Coming Against Securities Professionals.

Perhaps the SEC is finding insider trading cases to be some easy wins? After being raked over the coals, maybe they see insider trading enforcement as an area that can get them some good publicity?

As we heard on The Wire: “We want dope on the table for the six o’clock news.

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