Twitter is stream of random thoughts, news, insightful commentary, boring stories, humor, sadness, food pictures, hate, love, and cat pictures. The internet as a whole. At least a few traders have used Twitter as stock pricing indicator. Theoretically, that means stories could be planted that would move the stock price of a company. One trader tried to do so under false pretenses and is now subject to civil charges by the Securities and Exchange Commission and criminal charges by the Department of Justice.
James Alan Craig set up a few Twitter accounts. One was modeled after Muddy Waters Research, the influential equity research company. Another was modeled after Citron Research, another influential securities research firm. In each case he stole the firm’s logo to use on the Twitter accounts.
On Jan. 29, 2013, Craig used a Twitter account to send a series of tweets that falsely said Audience, Inc. was under investigation. Audience’s share price plunged and trading was halted before the fraud was revealed and the company’s stock price recovered. On Jan. 30, 2013, Craig used another Twitter account to send tweets that falsely said Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. was under investigation. Sarepta’s share price dropped 16 percent before recovering when the fraud was exposed.
Craig used his girlfriend’s brokerage account to buy the companies’ shares at depressed prices, hoping to sell them later after they rebounded. He was a terrible trader and missed the low prices. He bought $13,000 worth of stock in the companies, but made less than $100 of profit.
However, there was substantial short term damage to the targeted companies. The stock drop erases $1.6 million of shareholder value for at least a short time. There was enough of an impact that the NASDAQ halted trading in one of the companies.
It’s hard to believe that an unverified Twitter account that is poorly used could dupe the market into thinking that the claims were true. But I may be underestimating how much traders are using Twitter algorithms in their trading strategy. Craig’s accounts had very few followers and brief histories. Most people would discount the quiet tweeting from such an account. The algorithms did not.
For a few tweets and $100 of profit Craig faces a maximum prison sentence of 25 years, a fine of $250,000, penalties and restitution. Of course that is only if the US authorities can get their hands on him. His whereabouts are unknown.
If the case ever makes it to trial, it would be an interesting legal examination of the intersection of social media an securities fraud.
I don’t think I could be convicted of securities fraud for standing on a street corner and telling everyone that passes that Company X is a fraud and subject to upcoming charges. I didn’t think the same would be true if I did the same thing on Twitter. But maybe I’m wrong.
Sources:
